Election Forecast updated

One News have released the latest Colmar Brunton poll, to be frank it’s a terrible result for Labour. Astonishingly, Andrew Little has even admitted that he has considered resigning as leader. Funnily enough, we’re now 54 days until the election, one day longer than Mike Moore served as Prime Minister.

Anyway, I’ve updated my election forecast and it holds an important lesson – don’t loose your marbles over one poll result. Despite Labour’s 24% result in today’s Colmar Brunton, they’re still holding at over 28% in the forecast. True, if the previous Roy Morgan poll was in fact a rogue, then the future results will be very different. We’ve got 54 days to wait and see.

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