Election Forecast update – things are tightening

I’ve updated my Election Forecast with the results of tonight’s TVNZ/Colmar Brunton poll. The update results in Labour gaining two seats, one from National and one from the Māori Party. The Greens are still forecast to be under the 5% threshold.

This weekend I’m going to go through my data and make my predictions for which electorates are going to change hands. I’ll be very interested to see what others guess as well.

Nine days to go.

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